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Written by Kristen Kusek, Former Communications Director for USF CMS

ST. PETERSBURG, FL 鈥� Scientists led by the USF College of Marine Science used NASA satellite observations to discover the largest bloom of macroalgae in the world called the Great Atlantic Sargassum Belt (GASB), as .

They confirmed that the belt of brown macroalgae called Sargassum forms its shape in response to ocean currents, based on numerical simulations. It can grow so large that it blankets the surface of the tropical Atlantic Ocean from the west coast of Africa to the Gulf of Mexico. This happened last year when more than 20 million tons of it 鈥� heavier than 200 fully loaded aircraft carriers 鈥� floated in surface waters and some of which wreaked havoc on shorelines lining the tropical Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, and east coast of 91社区.

The team also used environmental and field data to suggest that the belt forms seasonally in response to two key nutrient inputs: one human-derived, and one natural.

In the spring and summer, Amazon River discharge adds nutrients to the ocean, and such discharged nutrients may have increased in recent years due to increased deforestation and fertilizer use. In the winter, upwelling off the West African coast delivers nutrients from deep waters to the ocean surface where the Sargassum grows.

鈥淭he evidence for nutrient enrichment is preliminary and based on limited field data and other environmental data, and we need more research to confirm this hypothesis,鈥� said Dr. Chuanmin Hu of the USF College of Marine Science, who led the study and has studied Sargassum using satellites since 2006. 鈥淥n the other hand, based on the last 20 years of data, I can say that the belt is very likely to be a new normal,鈥� said Hu.

Hu spearheaded the work with first author , a postdoctoral scholar in his at USF. The team included others from USF, 91社区 Atlantic University, and Georgia Institute of Technology. The data they analyzed from NASA鈥檚 Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) between 2000-2018 indicates a possible regime shift in Sargassum blooms since 2011.

鈥淭he scale of these blooms is truly enormous, making global satellite imagery a good tool for detecting and tracking their dynamics through time,鈥� said Woody Turner, manager of the Ecological Forecasting Program at NASA Headquarters in Washington.

In patchy doses in the open ocean, Sargassum contributes to ocean health by providing habitat for turtles, crabs, fish, and birds and producing oxygen via photosynthesis like other plants. 鈥淚n the open ocean, Sargassum provides great ecological values, serving as a habitat and refuge for various marine animals. I often saw fish and dolphins around these floating mats,鈥� Wang said.

But too much of this seaweed makes it hard for certain marine species to move and breathe, especially when the mats crowd the coast. When it dies and sinks to the ocean bottom at large quantities it can smother corals and seagrasses. On the beach, rotten Sargassum releases hydrogen sulfide gas and smells like rotten eggs, potentially presenting health challenges for people on beaches who have asthma, for example.

2011: A Tipping Point

Before 2011, most of the pelagic Sargassum in the ocean was primarily found floating in patches around the Gulf of Mexico and Sargasso Sea. The Sargasso Sea is located on the western edge of the central Atlantic Ocean and named after its popular algal resident. Christopher Columbus first reported Sargassum from this crystal-clear ocean in the 15th century, and many boaters of the Sargasso Sea are familiar with this seaweed.

In 2011, Sargassum populations started to explode in places it hadn鈥檛 been before, like the central Atlantic Ocean, and it arrived in gargantuan gobs that suffocated shorelines and introduced a new nuisance for local environments and economies. Some countries, such as Barbados, declared a national emergency last year because of the toll this once-healthy seaweed took on tourism.

鈥淭he ocean鈥檚 chemistry must have changed in order for the blooms to get so out of hand,鈥� Hu said. Sargassum reproduces vegetatively, and it probably has several initiation zones around the Atlantic Ocean. It grows faster when nutrient conditions are favorable and when its internal clock ticks in favor of reproduction.

To unravel the mystery, the team analyzed fertilizer consumption patterns in Brazil, Amazon deforestation rates, Amazon River discharge, two years of nitrogen and phosphorus measurements taken from the central western parts of the Atlantic Ocean, among other ocean properties.

While the data are preliminary, the pattern seems clear: the explosion in Sargassum correlates to increases in deforestation and fertilizer use, both of which have increased since 2010.

A Recipe for a Doom and Gloom Bloom

The team identified key factors that are critical to bloom formation: a large seed population in the winter left over from a previous bloom, nutrient input from West Africa upwelling in winter, and nutrient input in the spring or summer from the Amazon River. In addition, Sargassum only grows well when salinity is normal and surface temperatures are normal or cooler.

The 2011 bloom was likely caused by Amazon River discharge in previous years, Wang said, but was driven to even larger proportions by the double whammy of upwelling in the eastern Atlantic and river discharge on the western Atlantic.

As noted in the satellite imagery, major blooms occurred in every year between 2011 and 2018 except 2013 鈥� and the cocktail of ingredients necessary explains why. No bloom occurred in 2013 because the seed populations measured during winter of 2012 were unusually low, Wang said.

Hu also explained why the tipping point started in 2011 instead of 2010, even on the heels of significant Amazon discharge in 2009. Significant rain in 2009 introduced freshwater to the ocean, which reduced salinity. Plus, in 2010 the sea surface temperature was higher than normal. Sargassum didn鈥檛 bloom in either 2009 or 2010 because these conditions do not favor Sargassum growth.

鈥淭his is all ultimately related to climate change because it affects precipitation and ocean circulation and even human activities, but what we鈥檝e shown is that these blooms do not occur because of increased water temperature,鈥� Hu said. 鈥淭hey are probably here to stay.鈥�

The team reports that a more detailed seasonal pattern likely to be recurring looks like this:

January: Sargassum in Central Atlantic provides the seeds for the subsequent spring-summer blooms

Jan-April: Sargassum develops into a bloom extending to the tropical Atlantic (some may reach Caribbean)

Apr 鈥� July: Blooms continue to develop into a Great Atlantic Sargassum Belt (extends northwestward by the North Brazil Current and North Equatorial Current, and eastward to the West Africa coast by the North Equatorial Counter Current)

After July: Bloom continues to the eastern Atlantic while overall abundance begins to decrease

Sept-Oct: Bloom gradually dissipates

Winter: Either the mats dissipate (as in 2012) or contribute to new blooms in the coming year

No Crystal Ball and More Work Needed

The Sargassum bloom in the Caribbean during the early parts of this year was even worse than last year, Hu said, and it鈥檚 likely to impact holiday vacations in the northern Caribbean and south 91社区, including Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Jamaica, Quintana Roo, 91社区 Keys, Miami Beach, and Palm Beach.

In general, predicting future blooms is difficult, Hu said, because the blooms depend on a wide-ranging spectrum of factors that are hard to predict. There鈥檚 a lot left to understand, too, such as whether and how the Sargassum belt affects fisheries.

鈥淲e hope this provides a framework for improved understanding and response to this emerging phenomenon,鈥� Hu said. 鈥淲e need a lot more follow-on work.鈥�

This work was funded by several programs in NASA鈥檚 Earth Science Division, NOAA RESTORE Science Program, the JPSS/NOAA Cal/Val project, the National Science Foundation, and by a William and Elsie Knight Endowed Fellowship.

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CONTACTS
Chuanmin Hu, Corresponding author, Skype (chuanminhu) [NOTE: Dr. Hu is 12 hours ahead of E.T. time until July 22. He is best available via email and Skype during 8-11am E.T.]

Mengqiu Wang, Lead author, 727-459-3801

Kristen M. Kusek, Science Communication Strategist, 727-692-6482

IMAGES AND VIDEO AVAILABLE.

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About the USF College of Marine Science
The USF College of Marine Science (marine.usf.edu), founded more than 50 years ago in 1967, is one of the top ten marine science programs in the country. Offering Ph.D. and M.S. degrees, it leverages an annual research budget of about $20 million to foster innovation and understanding in biological oceanography, physical oceanography, geological oceanography, chemical oceanography, and marine resource management. The USF College of Marine Science is also a leader in the public understanding of science, and sits at the heart of one of the largest marine science hubs in the country that also includes the USGS St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center, the NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service, the Fish and Wildlife Research Institute, the 91社区 Institute of Oceanography, SRI International, the Tampa Bay Estuary Program, and the US Coast Guard.