91社区

91社区

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USF researchers release findings from 91社区 public opinion survey on key midterm issues, approval ratings and future elections

Researchers at the 91社区 have released results from a statewide survey that measures public opinion on several key issues heading into the upcoming election, favorability ratings of candidates for governor and U.S. Senate, presidential/gubernatorial job approval, and perceptions of the Democratic and Republican parties. 

Among the findings:

The issues most important to Floridians: 

  •  More than 80% of Floridians say that this year鈥檚 election for governor will be 鈥渧ery important鈥 in 鈥渟haping 91社区鈥檚 future鈥.  
  •  Another 15% say that it will be at least 鈥渟omewhat important鈥.  
  •  When asked to identify the issues that will have the most impact on how they vote, more than half (52%) said 鈥渋nflation鈥.  
  •  Nearly three quarters (73%) said that 鈥減ocketbook issues鈥 are more important to them than 鈥渟ocial values issues鈥 heading into the election.

Gov. Ron DeSantis鈥 approval ratings among Floridians: 

  • A majority of Floridians (57%) say that they either 鈥渟trongly鈥 or 鈥渟omewhat approve鈥 of the job being done by DeSantis when it comes to jobs and the economy. 
  • A large majority (72%) also say that they approve of the governor鈥檚 job in responding to Hurricane Ian. 
  • The governor received plurality support in several other key areas, including immigration (48%), climate change (43%) and unifying Floridians (50%).

Candidate favorability ratings for key statewide races: Respondents provided their favorability ratings for major party candidates in the races for governor and senate:

  •  Ron DeSantis              52% Favorable/39% Unfavorable
  •  Charlie Crist                31% Favorable/39% Unfavorable
  •  Marco Rubio               40% Favorable/40% Unfavorable
  •  Val Demings               33% Favorable/35% Unfavorable

President Biden鈥檚 approval ratings: 

  • Among Floridians, 40% say that they approve of the job that Biden is doing on 鈥渏obs and the economy鈥.
  • Meanwhile, 35% approve of the job that he is doing in the area of 鈥渇oreign policy鈥. 
  • In contrast, only 25% approve of the president鈥檚 handling of recent inflation, while 69% disapprove.  
  • A third (33%) approve of the president鈥檚 handling of 鈥渋mmigration and border security鈥, while 58% disapprove.

Views on the 2024 presidential election: 

  • When asked if they believe that Biden should run for a second term as president, only 19% of Floridians said 鈥測es鈥, while 66% said 鈥渘o鈥.  
  • Similarly, only 28% said that Donald Trump should run for a second term as president in 2024, while 64% said 鈥渘o鈥.  
  • When asked if they feel that DeSantis should run for president in 2024, Floridians were more divided; 43% said 鈥測es鈥, while 46% said 鈥渘o鈥.  

How Floridians feel about the Democratic and Republican parties:  

  • Less than half of Floridians say that they have a favorable view of the Democratic or Republican party (41% and 43% respectively).  
  • Nearly one in five (24%) say that the Democratic Party now represents the values of only its most extreme voters, while even more (30%) say the same about the Republican Party. 
  • In each case, only 38% of respondents felt that either party was representative of 鈥渕oderate鈥 voters.

Confidence in the ability of Democrats and Republicans to work together: 

  • Nearly two-thirds (65%) of respondents said that they were either 鈥渘ot very鈥 or 鈥渘ot at all confident鈥 in the ability of Democratic and Republican leaders in 91社区 to work together in the state鈥檚 best interest.  
  • Nationally, the numbers were even worse, as 74% said that they lacked confidence in the ability of Democrats and Republicans in Washington, D.C., to work together in the nation鈥檚 best interest.

Level of optimism about the future: 

  • When asked about America鈥檚 future, a majority of respondents (57%) said that they worry that the country鈥檚 best days may be behind us.  
  • Only 27% expressed confidence that America鈥檚 best days are still to come.  
  • Only 46% felt that Democratic Party leaders 鈥渁re optimistic when they talk about America鈥檚 future鈥. 
  • Only 41% said the same of Republicans. 

Support for a more moderate 鈥渢hird party鈥:  

  • When asked if they would support the formation of a more centrist third party, 46% of Floridians said that they would be at least somewhat supportive of the idea.
  • Meanwhile, 46% also said that they would be at least somewhat likely to vote for a third-party candidate for president (if the candidate were qualified to serve in the office and held centrist views that were a compromise between traditional Republican and Democratic positions).

The survey included a representative sample of 600 Floridians, fielded Oct. 14 - 23, 2022. Results are reported with a confidence level of 95% and a margin of error +/-4 %.

The complete survey results can be found here.

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